2027 presidential election
Polls
Voting intentions published by the pollsters, scenario by scenario. A poll measures opinion on a date; it is not a forecast.
Polls collected up to 26 October 2026 · no average computed by us.
Most recent poll collected (up to 26 October 2026)
OpinionWay · 22 October 2026
Fieldwork 21 October 2026 to 22 October 2026 · French population aged 18 and over
Round 1 — First-round presidential voting intention (L’intention de vote au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle) · for CNews · 1,033 people
« <1% » is drawn at 0.5: a drawing convention, not a published estimate.
Scenario names and event titles: English summaries by Source Civique, not official translations; the French original follows in brackets.
First round: every scenario tested
Each dot is one person's score in one scenario of one poll. A poll often tests several candidate lists, so several dots on the same date can come from the same poll. No average, no trend line: the results as published.
Dots per pollster: Ifop 1,174 · OpinionWay 273 · Elabe 195 · Cluster17 47. A pollster that tests many scenarios per poll weighs more in these clouds of dots.
- sample size and margins transcribed in our dataset
- sample size or margins not transcribed in our dataset (they may be in the notice)
- Common scale: % of voting intentions, 0 to 40
- « <1% » is placed at 0.5: a drawing convention, not a published estimate
Filter the dots: pollster, scenario, period
A to Z, the 18 people tested in at least 20 scenarios; the 16 other people tested follow. Tap or hover a dot for the details.
Most recent: <1% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 4% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 37% (Ifop, 24 June 2026)
Most recent: 1% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 4% (Ifop, 29 September 2026)
Most recent: 13% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 10% (Ifop, 19 October 2026)
Most recent: 1.5% (Ifop, 9 December 2024)
Most recent: 36% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 16% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 12% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 1% (Ifop, 27 March 2025)
Most recent: 6% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 1% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 1% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 1.5% (Ifop, 19 October 2026)
Most recent: 4% (Ifop, 30 April 2025)
Most recent: 4% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
The 16 other people tested
Most recent: 4% (OpinionWay, 12 September 2024)
Most recent: 3% (Ifop, 25 September 2025)
Most recent: 6% (Ifop, 18 April 2024)
Most recent: <1% (OpinionWay, 4 September 2026)
Most recent: <1% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 8% (Ifop, 27 February 2026)
Most recent: 3% (Ifop, 29 September 2026)
Most recent: 5% (OpinionWay, 26 March 2026)
Most recent: 6% (Ifop, 25 August 2026)
Most recent: 6% (Ifop, 27 February 2026)
Most recent: 6% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: 1% (Ifop, 29 September 2026)
Most recent: 1% (Ifop, 19 October 2026)
Most recent: 1% (OpinionWay, 12 September 2024)
Most recent: 3% (Ifop, 29 September 2026)
Most recent: 2% (Ifop, 19 October 2026)
Second round: every head-to-head tested
The 10 head-to-heads recorded, from most to least often tested. Each dot is the score of the person named first (alphabetical by surname); the other gets the rest: in all 49 results recorded, the two scores add up to 100%. Above the red 50% line, the first person leads.
Most recent: Marine Le Pen 56%, Édouard Philippe 44% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: Marine Le Pen 69%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon 31% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: Gabriel Attal 42%, Marine Le Pen 58% (Ifop, 19 October 2026)
Most recent: Raphaël Glucksmann 44%, Marine Le Pen 56% (OpinionWay, 22 October 2026)
Most recent: Gabriel Attal 48%, Jordan Bardella 52% (Ifop, 30 April 2025)
Most recent: Jordan Bardella 50%, Édouard Philippe 50% (Ifop, 30 April 2025)
Most recent: François Hollande 41%, Marine Le Pen 59% (Ifop, 19 October 2026)
Most recent: Marine Le Pen 58%, Bruno Retailleau 42% (Ifop, 25 August 2026)
Most recent: Jordan Bardella 67%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon 33% (Ifop, 30 April 2025)
Most recent: Jordan Bardella 53%, Bruno Retailleau 47% (Ifop, 30 April 2025)
All recorded polls (71)
- 22 October 2026 OpinionWay · CNews 4 scenarios
- 21 October 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 19 October 2026 Ifop · LCI, le Figaro et Sud Radio 13 scenarios
- 16 October 2026 Elabe · BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche 9 scenarios
- 15 October 2026 YouGov · Le HuffPost results in the notice
- 15 October 2026 Cluster17 · Le Point 5 scenarios
- 14 October 2026 OpinionWay · CNews 4 scenarios
- 14 October 2026 OpinionWay · Les Echos / Radio Classique 2 scenarios
- 14 October 2026 Ifop · LCI et Sud Radio 4 scenarios
- 8 October 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 7 October 2026 Odoxa · BACKBONE, PUBLIC SENAT, LA PRESSE REGIONALE ET LE NOUVEL OBS results in the notice
- 29 September 2026 Ifop · LCI, le Figaro et Sud Radio 10 scenarios
- 24 September 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 21 September 2026 YouGov · Le HuffPost results in the notice
- 16 September 2026 Cluster17 · Politico results in the notice
- 11 September 2026 Ifop · le Parti du vote blanc 2 scenarios
- 10 September 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 10 September 2026 OpinionWay · CNews 5 scenarios
- 9 September 2026 OpinionWay · Les Echos / Radio Classique 2 scenarios
- 9 September 2026 Ipsos BVA · CEVIPOF – Le Monde – Fondation Jean Jaurès – Institut Montaigne results in the notice
- 4 September 2026 OpinionWay · Sébastien Bonnal 1 scenario
- 3 September 2026 OpinionWay · JDD 6 scenarios
- 2 September 2026 Ipsos BVA · Le Parisien results in the notice
- 1 September 2026 Cluster17 · Le Point results in the notice
- 28 August 2026 Elabe · BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche 10 scenarios
- 25 August 2026 Ifop · LCI, le Figaro et Sud Radio 13 scenarios
- 19 August 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 24 July 2026 Cluster17 · Le Grand Continent results in the notice
- 10 July 2026 Verian · le journal L’Hémicycle results in the notice
- 10 July 2026 Elabe · BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche 11 scenarios
- 9 July 2026 OpinionWay · Les Echos / Radio Classique 3 scenarios
- 8 July 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 8 July 2026 Ifop · LCI et le Figaro 5 scenarios
- 24 June 2026 Ifop · LCI, le Figaro et Sud Radio 8 scenarios
- 11 June 2026 OpinionWay · Le Journal du Dimanche 3 scenarios
- 28 May 2026 Ipsos BVA · Le Parisien results in the notice
- 28 May 2026 Ifop · LCI, le Figaro et Sud Radio 11 scenarios
- 27 May 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 21 May 2026 Odoxa · MASCARET, PUBLIC SENAT ET 20 TITRES DE LA PRESSE REGIONALE results in the notice
- 30 April 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 27 March 2026 Elabe · BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche results in the notice
- 26 March 2026 OpinionWay · POLLITICS 4 scenarios
- 26 March 2026 Odoxa · MASCARET, PUBLIC SENAT ET 20 TITRES DE LA PRESSE REGIONALE results in the notice
- 22 March 2026 Toluna Harris Interactive · M6 & RTL results in the notice
- 27 February 2026 Ifop · Sud Radio et le Figaro 10 scenarios
- 6 February 2026 Ifop · Têtu results in the notice
- 20 November 2025 Verian · le journal L’Hémicycle results in the notice
- 20 November 2025 Verian · le journal L’Hémicycle results in the notice
- 20 November 2025 Odoxa · MASCARET, PUBLIC SENAT ET 20 TITRES DE LA PRESSE REGIONALE results in the notice
- 31 October 2025 Elabe · BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche results in the notice
- 7 October 2025 Toluna Harris Interactive · RTL results in the notice
- 1 October 2025 Cluster17 · Le Point results in the notice
- 25 September 2025 Ifop · L’Opinion et Sud Radio 6 scenarios
- 20 May 2025 Ifop · Le Figaro et Sud Radio 2 scenarios
- 19 May 2025 Toluna Harris Interactive · LCI results in the notice
- 30 April 2025 Ifop · Hexagone 13 scenarios
- 24 April 2025 Odoxa results in the notice
- 4 April 2025 Elabe · BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche results in the notice
- 31 March 2025 Toluna Harris Interactive · RTL results in the notice
- 27 March 2025 Ifop · Le JDD 4 scenarios
- 9 December 2024 Ifop · Le Figaro Magazine et Sud Radio 4 scenarios
- 12 September 2024 OpinionWay · POLLitics 4 scenarios
- 9 September 2024 Ifop · Sud Radio et le Figaro Magazine 4 scenarios
- 8 July 2024 Toluna Harris Interactive · Challenges M6 et RTL results in the notice
- 18 April 2024 Ifop · Le Figaro Magazine & Sud Radio 13 scenarios
- 5 April 2024 Cluster17 · Picardie Debout results in the notice
- 1 February 2024 Ifop · Valeurs Actuelles 5 scenarios
- 10 January 2024 Ifop · le Journal du Dimanche 4 scenarios
- 13 April 2023 OpinionWay · Pollitics 1 scenario
- 7 April 2023 Toluna Harris Interactive · Challenges results in the notice
- 31 March 2023 Ifop · le Figaro Magazine et Sud Radio 5 scenarios
Reading a poll
- A scenario is a list of candidates put to respondents. A person's score depends on the other names offered.
- A person missing from a scenario was not tested: that is not a score of 0%.
- Every result has a margin of error, given in each poll's technical sheet.
- The law forbids publishing or commenting on a poll the day before and on polling day. Learn more